Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 62.174770 70.533618 79.130747 88.600908 98.707993 109.141958 120.697532
2025-05-18 49.540751 61.465896 74.337240 89.126616 105.521359 123.021309 142.997712
2025-05-25 41.335553 55.055168 70.421825 88.627755 109.347436 131.960029 158.277419
2025-06-01 35.556266 50.531694 67.867096 88.948938 113.465473 140.699103 172.875065
2025-06-08 30.242876 45.894065 64.610057 87.940551 115.614683 146.845208 184.231926
2025-06-15 26.999883 43.416085 63.604519 89.292894 120.255317 155.635482 198.424394
2025-06-22 24.319332 41.356197 62.869801 90.763696 124.868157 164.267182 212.338408
2025-06-29 21.052104 38.185792 60.476322 89.975616 126.595350 169.386420 222.072816
2025-07-06 17.699791 34.550933 57.210135 87.860958 126.517516 172.219604 229.007786
2025-07-13 16.764152 34.265963 58.281207 91.191706 133.082535 182.941322 245.216948
2025-07-20 15.457643 33.298155 58.338797 93.145638 137.891468 191.528872 258.891617
2025-07-27 13.487517 31.117680 56.589155 92.624878 139.513109 196.201937 267.862270
2025-08-03 11.576732 28.850331 54.608017 91.734600 140.649725 200.308040 276.219798
2025-08-10 10.303535 27.493792 53.835154 92.398905 143.730099 206.778566 287.427497
2025-08-17 8.863630 25.671409 52.257220 91.869195 145.196784 211.205114 296.123484
2025-08-24 7.787816 24.364211 51.354940 92.200430 147.732394 216.925880 306.374826
2025-08-31 6.535447 22.542060 49.545766 91.169932 148.410929 220.277645 313.696490
2025-09-07 5.904169 21.862499 49.465435 92.551308 152.258580 227.600627 325.893749
2025-09-14 5.354186 21.275884 49.489150 94.053384 156.252152 235.104505 338.321376
2025-09-21 4.462178 19.793536 47.967687 93.248569 157.100306 238.586832 345.756833
2025-09-28 3.479707 17.878872 45.593313 91.088697 156.036138 239.572576 350.047830
2025-10-05 3.389312 18.160145 46.954262 94.490461 162.571430 250.317592 366.526923
2025-10-12 3.114916 17.916498 47.385087 96.485556 167.175803 258.585153 379.925003